Jason Burack

Investor, Entrepreneur, Financial Historian, Austrian School Economist & Contrarian

Truth is Sometimes Stranger than Fiction

Sometimes in life, the truth is indeed stranger than fiction! I think we have found a case where this appears to be evident! In the last few weeks now, LOTS of news and information has come out about gold, silver, position limits, supposedly empty vaults, ridiculous amounts of leverage to paper over the physical price of both precious metals, etc. al, and honestly, it’s really a bombardment of info even for information junkies like me!

A whistleblower came forward and someone tried to “silence” him with a felony hit and run murder hit job! Evidence was ignored and buried and a cover up is being attempted! I would say things are getting VERY interesting in the gold and silver investing arena lately!

My goal with this new post is to make you aware of what other “news” has just come out most recently and try and help you sort through the “facts” of this he said/she said situation we appear to be in. Things continue to amplify towards a crescendo/resolution.

I was going to write something immediately after the release of the Harvey and Lenny Organ GATA interview on King World News, which you MUST listen to, but it is really a good thing I decided to wait until now to write something!

Over the weekend, Jeff Christian of CPM Group, who testified at the CFTC meetings on precious metals at the end of March here in DC, and who’s testimony has been very controversial, decided to give another interview on Jim Paplava’s Financial Sense Newshour to restate/correct his testimony and his position after his testimony became the most controversial testimony and his “100:1 leverage” comments went viral online and in the investing/precious metals blogosphere and on Youtube. 

Here’s a link to that interview in MP3 form. You will need to move ahead quite a bit in the hour long segment if you want to skip ahead to the 2 pertinent interviews I am going to be talking about. Another precious metals expert was also on immediately after Christian…

Jeff Christian of CPM Group and Nick Barisheff (Metals) President & CEO Bullion Management Group Inc interviews

 Ok, so let’s try and sort through all of this information, (and there’s a lot of information to sort through), to try and figure out if we can read between the lines of what Christian was trying to do by going on Financial Sense Newshour and rebutt all of us investing and precious metal hacks and our supposedly incorrect and misconstrued interpretation of his testimony.

After first listening to Christian’s rebuttal interview on Financial Sense, I was somewhat confused. It sounded like he was trying to change what he said on his testimony. But, after a few hours of thinking and reflecting more about exactly what he said I came up with a few new conculsions. Those conclusions, and these are solely my own opinions, are:

  1. He doesn’t give a damn whatsoever about anyone on Main St other than his family and close friends. If you listen to him closely, he hints multiple times that the people who listened to his testimony in DC at the CFTC hearings got it ALL WRONG and he thinks we completely and intentionally misinterpreted/misconstrued what he said! He makes it like he’s the world’s best expert in an exlcusive club only a hand picked amount of people are allowed into!
  2. His buddies are the bullion traders and bankers at Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, etc. He defends his buddies vehemently saying there is no possible way they would take the risk of such a stupid trade with so much leverage without covering themselves (cough cough hello subprime loans, exotic mortgages, CDOs, CMOs, credit default swaps, excessive leverage cough cough)
  3. He completely discredits GATA (borderline slander) and insinuates that they are all a bunch of crazy people who have wasted the last decade of their lives and  have no idea whatsoever what the real truth about the gold and silver markets really is! He also insinuates that any of us who believe anything of what GATA says is true need to have our heads examined besides being wrong because we don’t know what he knows! Isn’t this a convenient excuse??

After listening to Mr. Christian’s interview, I conclude that he is not one of us Main Streeters! He thinks of himself as a Wall St elite privy to the truth about what really goes on behind the scenes and us morons/common folks/peasants/peons have no clue whatsoever what is really happening! Let’s just say I lost a lot of respect for him after listening to this interview and I’d be glad to say this to his face or on the phone!

He also insinuates that the people who do think they have an idea of what is going on in gold and silver, really have no idea whatsoever! He miraculously reaches this conclusion without addressing any of the supply/demand fundamental questions about silver as well as cleverly dancing around other issues in the precious metals markets.

Also, and this was my favorite part of the interview, besides having no rebuttal whatsoever for GATA having fact after fact after fact about the proven market manipulation in both the gold and silver precious metal markets, he says that a concentrated position is natural and is allowed and encouraged in other commodities in the commodities markets and that Warren Buffett tried to bust the silver market a decade ago by taking delivery and it only changed the price a few dollars.

But, I also know he intentionally left out a few things about Warren Buffett’s attempt at making a killing in silver and I will help fill in the blanks for all of you! Here we go:

If you pay close attention to this and really know the facts about the silver markets, you will realize that Christian says Buffett had to wait more than 3 months for his 100million+ oz delivery of silver. He says how that’s no big deal! There’s just one BIG, no HUGE  problem with what he is saying…. and that’s that the COMEX and LBMA both claim to have that much silver and then some readily available in their vaults already for IMMEDIATE delivery!!! Yes, that means that that silver, as soon as someone wants it and pays for it is ready to go in good delivery, 1,000oz bar form right away. NOT months from availability of delivery!

WHOOPS!

Does something sound fishy to you too??

That ladies and gentleman is a default whether they admit it or not because they say their silver and gold reserves are something much, much larger than they really are and ready for immediately delivery, but their reserves are obviously overstated! The question I want to know is, how much are they really overstated by?

In other words, what order of magnitude of a lie are we talking about here? Are we talking about a fib or about a Lehman Brothers type of overstating lie??

I think Mr. Christian is a smart guy, but I think he is being anything but honest and is downright disingenuinous. He is hoping there are not many of us out there besides GATA who the mainstream media and the banks have done a wonderful job of convincing people they are crazy that really know a lot of the facts and can call his a$$ out for twisting the facts however he wants to twist them!

He thinks he is smarter and better than us. I got news for him. He’s not.

Considering he worked a long time for Goldman Sachs and is probably acting the same way he was when he worked for them (sense of entitlement and better than others and he is doing God’s work by making money) I would be very careful in the future listening to anything this man says, trusting him or acting on any “opinions or advice” he gives out in public regarding the precious metals! It is impossible to tell what all of his real motives are, but it is very easy to tell where his loyalties lie!

That’s with his Wall St banker friends at Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley who all think they are better and smarter than we are and they are entitled to steal our money any way they can for as long as they can until we finally say enough is enough! 

In conclusion, I hope listening to Mr. Christian’s interview does not sway you if you were thinking of investing in silver. I hope I have laid out a good enough argument to convine you why you should be careful listening to him… I am of the opinion that silver is still an amazing investment and nothing Mr. Christian said has changed that!

 

 

Worst Economics and Investing Actor of the Decade Award goes to…..

And the Worst Economics and Investing Actor of the Decade Award goes to…..Bernie Madoff? Robert Rubin? Dennis Wheeler? Ben Bernanke? NOPE!

And the “Winner” is:

Alan Greenspan for his “performance” as Fed Chairman in creating the Tech AND housing bubbles!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! (Please watch this poor acting job, I mean interview as it will help you understand the point I am making!)

And yet, this liar, hypocrite and coward still denies it?? !!#$%%$!!

Don’t believe me?

Go back and watch his most interview from last week on ABC that I linked to above (I know you intentionally skipped watching the interview and I’m calling you out for it!!!) where he continues to deny he saw ANY of this coming when he continually lowered interest rates, handed more free money to the banks and made it easier for every American citizen to get easy money and easy credit for a long time.

We must give the award to the root of all of these economic and financial problems. That, ladies and gentleman, is, in my humble opinion, Alan Greenspan!

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Yes, Greenspan’s policies are still being carried out and expanded upon by current Federal Reserve Chairman, Ben Bernanke.

But, Greenspan is without a doubt responsible for starting this whole easy money, easy credit avalanche/snowball intentionally and he deserves the award more than his handpicked successor, Ben Bernanke, because this is a decade, lifetime “achievement” award (like one of the awards Greenspan is being given on his banquet and lecture circuit tour).

The really sad part is for people who do know the truth, Greenspan also has denied any responsibility whatsoever for causing bubbles and has said repeatedly, even under oath and under questioning from Ron Paul, any responsibility for causing what we are experiencing now.

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Don’t worry Ben! There’s still time for you to win this award too!

But, back to Greenspan and his bubbles.

He says it was impossible for anyone to see this (housing bubble and credit crisis) coming after the Tech bubble when subprime mortgages were emphasized and anyone with a pulse, NINJAs (No Income No Job No Assets) were also given lots of credit and easy access to owning homes they couldn’t afford.

And yet, many thousands of professional investors, traders, economists and politicians like Ron Paul were able to predict and see AND also profit off of what Greenspan couldn’t see (we will take his word for it temporarily and just asusme he is stupid and could not see the forest).

The question I want to know is how come so many thousands of people could see something (fairly easily I might add) that he couldn’t??

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Greenspan is also the main guy responsible for allowing the “Inflation Monster” out of its cage!

Here’s some additional opinions about Greenspan and his bubbles from other investors and authors:

Here’s Peter Schiff’s latest  Video Blogs about Alan Greenspan. Peter also wants to challenge Alan to a debate since Peter was able to correctly predict the housing bubble and its collapse years before it actually happened and it wasn’t luck like Greenspan hints.

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After watching these videos and interviews and reading the articles I have linked to, I really hope you get the point I am trying to make.

The point I am trying to make, and hopefully you figured out without me mentioning it now and that you should take away from this article is that Alan Greenspan knew exactly what he was doing!

He gave into the politicians and the private banking interests that makeup the banking cartel that is the Fed and did the least amount of long term good for the most amount of people. That’s bad economics and croney capitalism! That’s giving into special interests that he denounced in one of the videos I posted earlier!

He lowered interest rates routinely and gave away many hundred billion in free money to the banks and Wall St.

The banks were greedy and wanted more and time after time, he gave them what they wanted!

Think of the money like gasoline being added to a fire. This is Greenspan’s fire and Greenspan’s bubbles.

He started this mess, but does not have the integrity to admit any responsibility for creating or nor is he trying to help clean it up. He’s too busy collecting 6 figure fees for speaking/consulting engagements and awards he doesn’t deserve!

So, in conclusion, he deserves an “award” alright, but just not the ones he is currently getting in public!

Also, be sure to checkout The Mess That Greenspan Made Blog. It is quality!

Whistleblower Speaks! Silver Manipulation Recounted in Great Detail!

 

Folks, in case you haven’t listened to THE interview, go do so NOW!

This is THE interview from gold & silver trade Andrew Maguire on King World News.

Andrew is now the silver and gold market’s “Deep Throat.”

We in the gold and silver community knew there was manipulation, but it is SHOCKING just how much there really is! Over 100:1 leverage in terms of paper silver and paper gold to the physical metal?? Are you kidding me?

This is going to come to an end a LOT sooner than I originally thought! Foreign traders, once they understand that the bullion banks, like JP Morgan and HSBC, have MONUMENTAL naked short positions in silver will just take delivery of the metal and the game will be up quickly.

How many people are familiar with the term short squeeze?

You are about to witness the largest and greatest short squeeze of all time! I don’t think I am over-exaggerating this either!

There is now very, very good odds silver prices will hit triple digits within the next yr or 2 if not sooner. Those shorts will have to come up with the metal. People will not want to be “paid” in cash when they want physical silver.

We are about to finally see a free market solution to this criminal manipulation that the CFTC has known about for a long time and looked the other way like what the SEC did with Madoff! This is the ENDGAME scenario!

Silver is about to hit 3 digits fairly quickly in my humble opinion and perhaps even 4 digits if a mania, panic short covering or bubble ensues and lots of regular traders and the herd gets on board!

Congrats to all of you silver longs! The wait seems finally over! Like many of you, I am VERY excited to see what develops in the gold and silver market!

Thanks to GATA, James Turk, Ted Butler, David Morgan and Andrew Maguire for coming forward! I am sure I am forgetting other experts on the metals, but thank you too!

 

My thoughts on the 3/25/2010 CFTC Public Hearing on Precious Metal Position Limits

 

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I will try to keep my thoughts to a few paragraphs. This is just text because this is just a summary.

After listening to the 2-3 hrs worth of testimony from both GATA, other traders of commodities and futures and of the banks and the Exchanges (CME and NYSE), I came away with some confusion and mixed results.

If you listen to the testimonies, you hear 2 completely different stories about things that are occurring. GATA and a few of the traders quoted nothing but fact after fact after fact about the manipulation and the Exchanges and the banks talked about how if the CFTC regulates the markets more business will flow out of the US and people will just trade on other commodities exchanges around the world or OTC.

The Exchanges and the banks (HSBC, etc) who testified also said how the commodities markets function very well. In gold and silver, this is clearly not the case. But, the exchanges and banks tried to testify that we do have a free market in both precious metals. I obviously disagree!

I am not optimistic the CFTC will do anything about it. Too much $$$$ is at stake! There is billions in commissions a year the banks generate for exchanges and for the American economy trading gold and silver. The banks also defended the precious metals ETFs, but that is probably another article…

The one encouraging thing for me that I heard was from new CFTC Chairman Gary Gensler. Gensler admitted there was a “concentrated position” in especially silver and tried to question HSBC’s testifying representative about it.

A roundabout excuse was made about the requirement to have unlimited ability to go long or short whatever was needed and to hedge for clients. It was also mentioned how the banks intentionally own a lot of physical metal and yet like to still short the paper contract price.

This makes no sense to me unless they are doing gold/silver swaps and leasing out the metal in their vaults to help cover for other banks’ liabilities.

Does anyone who watched the hearings on the Internet or attended the hearings in DC have a differing opinion?

Overall, I think no changes will be made to the precious metal position limits. The manipulation will continue for at least a little while longer. Eventually though, the market forces will win out! Too many people know the truth about what is really going on. The banks and central banks “game” will not be able to continue for much longer. Endgame is near. I’d say 1-2 yrs at most depending on how the macro picture plays out and how much precious metals governments like China, India, etc along with private citizens in China buy.

We are NOT all Keynesians!

 

Where Keynes Went Wrong by Hunter Lewis; Interview by Jim Paplava

Richard Nixon included in a famous speech back when he was President that “we are all Keynesians” now.

I beg to differ and I think that quote is used a an “excuse of last resort” and a crutch in academia by many professors and also by many politicians.Well, despite the fact that just about all of (economic) academia has followed Nixon and Lord Keynes down that deep, dark rabbit’s hole over the last 4 or 5 decades, I regret to inform people like my grad school microeconomics Professor Dr. Charles (we’ll leave his last name out of this to protect his identity) that we are DEFINITELY NOT all Keynesian

That’s right, there’s still some independent thinkers out there. Not many of us among the sheeple, but still enough of us spread throughout the country where, combined with the Internet and free speech forums like this blog, we can actually make a difference in educating people in the mistake that is Keynesian economics.

I got into a 5+ minute debate with said professor in my Analytical Framework for Business Managers class (it’s really a microecon class but the VT business school likes putting fancy names on classes when they really shouldn’t) when he was teaching Macroeconomics and talking about stimulus and inflation. The teacher said something about how as long as the economy is growing and the stimulus is working, then inflation will not be a problem. Uh-huh. My professor sounded like a broken record of Ben Bernanke!

And if you don’t already know, you will learn very, very quickly I can’t stand Ben Bernanke!

Anyways, back to my debate a month or so ago with my professor. I was really going at it with him in front of a class of 30 or so other students. Most of the students are working professionals so they come into class already tired and hungover from a long day’s work. During the debate I actually had everyone’s head tured and facing me. Staring at me. Well more like staring through me!

“How dare this cocky, little asshole question the teacher and our economics textbook! It’s in the book so it must be true!” 

That is my impression of what they were thinking. They were also thinking I was a ‘nut’ and that I probably believed in every single conspiracy theory or I forgot to take my medication that day (I don’t believe in that many conspiracies and I’m not on meds except for asthma and allergy). 

Ok, so back to Keynesian economics. Keynesian economics has acted like a virus and infected critical thinking and common sense when it pertains to economics worldwide for many decades now. It destroyed the British Pound, it is destroying the Japanese Yen, and it will most likely destroy the Dollar, the Euro and many other paper, fiat currencies. 

All I am asking for is that students be taught ALL of the macroeconomic theories/schools of thought and decide for themselves which one is best overall or the best in which situations. That’s all I am asking for! Unfortunately, it’s too much to ask of academia and most (but not all) of our business schools and universities. 

The best work I have seen explaining the difference between Keynesian Economics and Austrian Economics is actually a rap video called “Fear the Boom and Bust” by George Mason University economics professor Russ Roberts. Here’s the video in case you haven’t seen it:

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Austrian Economics is SO common sensical! No confusing mathematical equations, formulas, charts, graphs and statistics! It is also more of an art than a science, which is what I like the most about it.

I think if more students were exposed to Austrian Economics they would like it, but hardly any are even given that option. Only the Mises Institute  at Auburn University is large enough for lots of students and there are only a handful of others schools that even offer a separate economics class to teach the Austrian viewpoint.

The problem is that every macroeconomics class and the textbooks the professors use to teach these classes, with very few exceptions, has only Keynesian macro within its pages and taught in its lessons! Because of this, Keynesian economics is viewed as gospel now! It shouldn’t be!

What is currently playing out on the world economic stage is in VERY large thanks to Keynesian economics! Keynesian economics is part of the playbook used by governments to steal the wealth or purchasing power of their private citizens through the “invisible tax” aka inflation or currency devaluation or debasement.

Keynesian economics is corrupt so when you combine it with greedy and corrupt bankers and greedy and corrupt politicians, you have the mess that America and other countries find ourselves in.

The solution to this problem starts, in my opinion, at the university level. Students should be taught other forms of economics. Plain and simple. America and the rest of the world have been duped for decades now because students only know Keynesian economics when they graduate and that leaves everyone at a major disadvantage.

It should not be a surprise to anyone who understands Austrian economics that the Keynesians running our country’s economic and fiscal policy cannot find the answers to solve our problems! Keynesian economics was not designed to solve long term problems, it was designed to ONLY solve short term problems!

Additional aftershocks and other long term effects be damned! Even Keynes said this himself when he said, “in the long term, we’re all dead.”

If we get rid of Keynesian economics, I think we can start truly fixing our problems for the long term. When was the last time someone in our government made a policy decision that would make the US economy much better off as a whole for the long term and not just for one more election cycle? And please don’t try and tell me Obamacare or universal healthcare or whatever they are calling it now is the answer to my question!